Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.703147 11.987077 13.375737 14.991191 16.821248 18.832834 21.215249
2025-04-13 8.459382 10.091490 11.981061 14.337388 17.206836 20.599950 24.934484
2025-04-20 7.147908 9.021485 11.327288 14.389922 18.375316 23.418586 30.335961
2025-04-27 6.173474 8.205093 10.850249 14.576273 19.737179 26.702590 36.932716
2025-05-04 5.330114 7.427533 10.303519 14.581909 20.864863 29.877754 44.010724
2025-05-11 4.531252 6.590554 9.550334 14.179263 21.354819 32.250782 50.425101
2025-05-18 3.906782 5.911618 8.921716 13.854915 21.902344 34.801749 57.633411
2025-05-25 3.407836 5.349259 8.385016 13.583483 22.482357 37.501111 65.645737
2025-06-01 3.016864 4.900895 7.961498 13.424696 23.216232 40.580070 74.970798
2025-06-08 2.701904 4.532909 7.616207 13.340917 24.061003 43.998411 85.665539
2025-06-15 2.506436 4.339947 7.538631 13.713822 25.794390 49.362849 101.375503
2025-06-22 2.270148 4.043938 7.238647 13.628205 26.637013 53.156775 114.713150
2025-06-29 2.023754 3.704502 6.825920 13.286328 26.960540 56.064097 127.074683
2025-07-06 1.823766 3.426780 6.493029 13.053092 27.473621 59.489244 141.553630
2025-07-13 1.707706 3.296119 6.428433 13.364349 29.225345 66.036661 165.455856
2025-07-20 1.609789 3.188984 6.396571 13.741646 31.202463 73.543593 194.013773
2025-07-27 1.501934 3.048031 6.276047 13.903910 32.711305 80.253289 222.427437
2025-08-03 1.370193 2.841022 5.988213 13.637518 33.128496 84.289860 244.408027
2025-08-10 1.256565 2.659729 5.733984 13.412480 33.613861 88.630001 268.705385
2025-08-17 1.157214 2.498464 5.504763 13.214142 34.137354 93.208575 295.280171
2025-08-24 1.074323 2.364876 5.322823 13.107621 34.895207 98.648794 326.592065
2025-08-31 1.003375 2.250801 5.172914 13.061705 35.819647 104.817527 362.636868
2025-09-07 0.964090 2.206738 5.186415 13.453902 38.098313 115.752521 420.277130